Date:         Wed, 26 Jan 2000 22:41:43 GMT
Reply-To:     Kyle Dane <kyledane@MY-DEJA.COM>
Sender:       "SAS(r) Discussion" <SAS-L@LISTSERV.UGA.EDU>
From:         Kyle Dane <kyledane@MY-DEJA.COM>
Organization: Deja.com - Before you buy.
Subject:      Re: an interesting game

  dnordlund@aol.com (Daniel J. Nordlund) wrote:
>My suggestion (to try to
make this
> on topic) is that if you want to advocate for a probability of 1/2
after an
> empty door is opened, then post a simulation demonstating that result
(any
> takers?), or at least point out where John Whittington's simulation is
in error
> (if you can).

I will on both counts.  I've already run through it once and gotten the
1/2 result, but I want to make sure my code is clean and my explanation
of the errors in John's simulation are as complete and understandable as
possible before I post it.  I just can't do that right now.

> Writing a program to solve a problem often does wonders for my
understanding of
> said problem.

You're right, it did.  Although my initial intuition proved correct,
there were some subtleties within the probabilities of this problem that
escaped me at first.

--
Kyle Dane
Programmer/Analyst - UCSF Division of Geriatrics
kdane@medicine.ucsf.edu -   415-514-0714


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